Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.199231 0.232088 0.268082 0.310360 0.358577 0.411768 0.474803
2026-01-18 0.145723 0.190644 0.245057 0.315427 0.403587 0.509905 0.647306
2026-01-25 0.114077 0.163028 0.226984 0.315800 0.434932 0.588052 0.798388
2026-02-01 0.091757 0.141327 0.210345 0.312017 0.456223 0.651345 0.932754
2026-02-08 0.075287 0.123995 0.195746 0.307062 0.472775 0.707106 1.059339
2026-02-15 0.061192 0.107336 0.178987 0.295596 0.477045 0.744084 1.160685
2026-02-22 0.055878 0.103397 0.180531 0.311178 0.522055 0.842742 1.358426
2026-03-01 0.046990 0.091914 0.168254 0.302952 0.528596 0.883257 1.471129
2026-03-08 0.039334 0.081226 0.155647 0.292222 0.529271 0.913686 1.569326
2026-03-15 0.033659 0.073179 0.146393 0.285792 0.535844 0.953216 1.683948
2026-03-22 0.030433 0.069300 0.144054 0.291109 0.562660 1.027508 1.860136
2026-03-29 0.028425 0.067536 0.145378 0.303106 0.602081 1.125587 2.082550
2026-04-05 0.025950 0.064479 0.143960 0.310056 0.633527 1.213283 2.295409
2026-04-12 0.023327 0.060673 0.140571 0.312812 0.657478 1.289746 2.494580
2026-04-19 0.020816 0.056669 0.136189 0.312949 0.676178 1.357750 2.682879
2026-04-26 0.018325 0.052251 0.130290 0.309173 0.686630 1.410977 2.847483
2026-05-03 0.016085 0.048032 0.124227 0.304256 0.694117 1.458822 3.004850
2026-05-10 0.013733 0.043060 0.115713 0.292885 0.687023 1.477767 3.108380
2026-05-17 0.013249 0.043055 0.118959 0.308338 0.737867 1.613655 3.445312
2026-05-24 0.011524 0.039226 0.112336 0.300180 0.736897 1.645854 3.581230
2026-05-31 0.009905 0.035365 0.105056 0.289539 0.729306 1.663755 3.689436
2026-06-07 0.008685 0.032452 0.099799 0.283163 0.730618 1.699930 3.836504
2026-06-14 0.008072 0.031342 0.099225 0.288435 0.759226 1.795501 4.111279